Government debt management

By agreement with the Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs, the Central Bank of Iceland undertakes tasks relating to management of the Treasury’s domestic and foreign debt, as well as Treasury guarantees and relending. The agreement on Government debt management and other contractual agreements can be found here: Agreements and collaborators

Information on the tasks undertaken by Government Debt Management can be found on the Government Debt Management website: Government Debt Management

 

The Republic of Iceland's sovereign credit ratings

Three rating agencies issue credit ratings for the Republic of Iceland: Moody’s Investors Service, Fitch Ratings and Standard & Poor’s. By agreement with the Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs, the Central Bank of Iceland undertakes tasks relating to management of the Treasury’s domestic and foreign debt, as well as Treasury guarantees and relending. Whereas the Bank previously handled regular contacts with the credit rating agencies on behalf of the Government, the Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs now handles such contacts. 

The Central Bank stopped posting information on Iceland’s sovereign credit ratings at the end of 2021. Information on Iceland’s sovereign credit ratings can be found on the Government of Iceland website: The Republic of Iceland's sovereign credit ratings

 

DateFitchMoody'sS&PR&I
11. 11. 2010R&I - News Release: R&I downgrades to BB+, Negative: Republic of Iceland
20. 09. 2010Moody's - Issuer Comment: Iceland's recent Supreme Court Decision on Foreign-Exchange-Linked Bank Loans reduces Uncertainty but no Rating Impact
29. 07. 2010Moody's - Changed to Negative from Stable the Rating Outlook for Iceland's Baa3 Local and Foreign Currency Government Bond Ratings
27. 04. 2010Moody's - Credit Analysis - Iceland
23. 04. 2010Moody's - Rating Action: Moody's Changes Outlook on Iceland's Ratings bank to Stable
06. 04. 2010Moody's - Rating Action: Iceland's Ratings Outlook Changed to Negative from Stable
31. 03. 2010S&P - Global Credit Portal: Iceland (Republic of)
30. 03. 2010S&P - Global Credit Portal: Republic of Iceland FC Ratings Affirmed On Near-Term Stability; LC Ratings Lowered to 'BBB/A-3'; Outlook Negative
08. 03. 2010S&P - Icelander's Referendum Rejection of Plan to Repay Icesave Debt has no Immediate Impaction Iceland Sovereign Rating
29. 01. 2010S&P - Global Credit Portal: Republic of Iceland Ratings Kept On Credit Watch Negative On Continuing Uncertainty about International Financing
08. 01. 2010R&I - News Release: Republic of Iceland on Rating Monitor w/Downgrading
06. 01. 2010Moody's - Announcement: Iceland's Exit from Crisis Complicated by President's Refusal to Sign Icesave Agreement
05. 01. 2010Fitch -Downgrades Iceland to 'BB+'/'BBB+': Outlook NegativeS&P - Global Credit Portal : Republic of Iceland Foreign and Local Currency Ratings Placed on Credit Watch Negative Following Icesave Veto
31. 12. 2009S&P - Global Credit Portal: Republic of Iceland. Outlook Revised to Stable from Negative on Icesave Bill; Rating Affirmed
23. 12. 2009Fitch - Affirms Iceland at 'BBB-'/'A-'; Off RWN; Outlook Negative
16. 11. 2009Moody's - Credit Option: Iceland
16. 11. 2009Moody's - Credit Option: Iceland
11. 11. 2009Moody's - Rating Action: Moody's Downgrades Iceland too Baa3 from Baa1; Stable Outlook
22. 09. 2009Moody's - Special Comment:Iceland Fragile Stabilisation but Far from Recovery
03. 09. 2009Fitch - Credit Analysis: Iceland
21. 08. 2009Moody's - Special Comment: Iceland's Amendment to Icesave Agreement Supports Fiscal Sustainability
23. 01. 2009Moody's - Credit Analysis: Iceland
11. 12. 2008Fitch - International Special Report: Iceland: A Difficult Road Ahead
04. 12. 2008Moody's - Rating Action: Iceland, Government of- Moody's Downgrades Iceland's Ratings to Baa1; Negative Outlook
24. 11. 2008S&P - Ratings Direct: Iceland Foreign Currency Rating Lowered to 'BBB-' on Mounting Debt Burden; Outlook Negative
15. 10. 2008Moody's - Credit Opinion: Iceland
09. 10. 2008R&I - News Release: R&I Downgrades to (BBB-): Republic of Iceland
08. 10. 2008Fitch - Downgrades Iceland to 'BBB-'; Remains on Rating Watch NegativeMoody's - Rating Action: Moody's Downgrades Iceland's Ratings to A1 from Aa1;Review continues
07. 10. 2008R&I - News Release: R&I Downgrades to (A+): Republic of Iceland
06. 10. 2008Fitch - International Credit Update: Republic of IcelandS&P - Ratings Direct: Republic of Iceland Ratings Lowered and Removed from Credit Watch Negative
30. 09. 2008Fitch - Downgrades Iceland to 'A-'/'AA'; on Rating Watch NegativeMoody's - Rating Action: Moody's Places Iceland's Ratings on Review fro Downgrade
29. 09. 2008S&P - Republic of Iceland Cut to FC 'A-/A-2', LC 'A+/A-1' on Support for Glitnir Bank; on Watch Negative
21. 05. 2008Moody's - Credit Opinion:Iceland
20. 05. 2008Moody's - Rating Action: Moody's Downgrades Iceland's Ratings to Aa1
08. 05. 2008S&P - Ratings Direct: Iceland (Republic of)
17. 04. 2008S&P - Iceland Sovereign Ratings Lowered on External Funding Risks; Outlook Negative
09. 04. 2008Moody's - Credit Analysis: Iceland
01. 04. 2008Fitch - Changes Iceland's Outlook to NegativeS&P - Republic of Iceland, HFF, and Landsvirkjun L-T Ratings Placed on Credit Watch Negative
05. 03. 2008Moody's - Rating Action: Moody's Assigns Negative Outlook to Iceland's Rating
28. 01. 2008Moody's - Special Comment: Iceland's Aaa Ratings at a Crossroads
20. 11. 2007S&P - Outlook on Landsvirkjun's Unsecured Debt Revised to Negative in Line with Sovereign
21. 08. 2007Moody's - Credit Opinion: Iceland, Government of
06. 06. 2007R&I - News Release: R&I Assigns AA+, Outlook Stable; Republic of Iceland
15. 03. 2007Fitch - Downgrades Iceland to 'A+'/'AA+'; Outlook Stable
22. 12. 2006S&P - Republic of Iceland cut to FC 'A+/A-1', LC 'AA/A-1+' on Unbalanced Policy Mix; Outlook Stable
14. 12. 2006Moody's - Credit Opinion: Iceland
21. 11. 2006S&P - Republic of Iceland's Debut1. Bil. Euro Benchmark Bond Due 2011 Assigned 'AA-' Rating
20. 11. 2006Moody's - Rating Action: Iceland,Government of - Moody's Assigns Aaa Rating to Iceland's New Global Bond
14. 11. 2006Fitch - International Credit Analysis: Republic of Iceland
31. 10. 2006S&P - Rating Direct: Iceland (Republic of)
05. 06. 2006S&P - Republic of Iceland Outlook Revised to Negative on Hard Landing Risk; Ratings Affirmed
04. 04. 2006Moody's - Special Comment: Iceland's Solvency and Liquidity are Not at Risk
16. 03. 2006S&P - Republic of Iceland 'AA-/A-1+' FC Ratings Affirmed on Healthy Public Finances; Outlook Stable
21. 02. 2006Fitch - Revises Iceland's Outlook to Negative on Widening Macro Imbalances
31. 10. 2005S&P - Credit Research Report: Iceland (Republic of)
03. 08. 2005Fitch - Affirms Iceland at 'AA-'/'AAA', Outlook Stable
19. 07. 2005Moody's - Analysis: Iceland
10. 02. 2005S&P - Republic of Iceland cut to FC 'A+/A-1', LC 'AA/A-1+' on Unbalanced Policy Mix; Outlook Stable
14. 06. 2004S&P Research - Iceland's Housing Financing Fund Assigned 'A+' Foreign and 'AA+' Local Currency Ratings
08. 06. 2004Moody's - Analysis: Iceland
17. 12. 2003 S&P Research - Iceland Electric Co. Landsvirkjun Foreign Currency Outlook Revised to Positive; Rtgs Affirmed
16. 12. 2003 S&P Research - Foreign Currency Outlook on Iceland Revised to Positive; 'A+/A-1+' Ratings Affirmed
19. 06. 2003 S&P Research - Republic of Iceland 'A+/A-1+' Foreign Currency Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Stable
05. 06. 2003 Moody's - Rating Action: Moody's reports: Iceland's Aaa Ratings and Stable Outlook Based on Economic Resiliency and Sound Public Finances
31. 03. 2003Fitch - Iceland's Sovereign Ratings Affirmed: Outlook now stable
28. 03. 2003Fitch - Special Report - Sovereign Data Comparator March 2003
20. 11. 2002S&P Research - Icelandic Electric Company Landsvirkjun
Outlook Revised to Stable in Line With Sovereign
15. 11. 2002S&P Research - Outlook on Republic of Iceland Revised to
Stable; 'A+/A-1+' Ratings Affirmed
21. 10. 2002Moody's - Rating Action: Moody's Upgrades Foreign Currency Ratings of
Australia, New Zealand and Iceland to Aaa
03. 05. 2002S&P Research - Republic of Iceland Ratings Affirmed;
Outlook Remains Negative
16. 04. 2002Moody's - Rating Action: Moody's Reports: Narrowing of Macro Imbalances
Helps Sustain Stable Outlook on Iceland's Aa3 Foreign Currency Country Ceilings
15. 02. 2002Fitch - Iceland's Sovereign Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Revised to Negative
15. 11. 2001S&P Research - Iceland's $1 Billion Commercial Paper
Program Rated 'A-1+'; Other Ratings Affirmed
23. 10. 2001S&P Research - Landsvirkjun FC Outlook Revised to
Negative After Iceland Revision; Ratings Affirmed
22. 10. 2001S&P Research - Outlook on Republic of Iceland Revised to
Negative; Ratings Affirmed
21. 03. 2001S&P Research - Outlook on Iceland's FC Issuer Rating
Revised to Stable From Pos; 'A+' FC Rating Affirmed
07. 02. 2001Moody's - Rating Action: Iceland's Ratings Outlook Remains Stable
in Face of Growing External Debt Burden

The role of sovereign credit ratings

Sovereign credit ratings play an important role in the global financial markets. Ratings agencies assign borrowers a credit rating that significantly influences the lending terms offered to them.   The credit ratings reflect the assessment of borrowers’ ability to honour their commitments in full and on time. It gives an indication of the probability that a borrower will default on payments. Iceland´s sovereign rating sets the benchmark for the creditworthiness of other Icelandic borrowers in global credit markets and is therefore highly important to them.

 

Assignment of credit ratings

Sovereign credit ratings are assigned based on various criteria, including the following: 

  • The sovereign’s ability to service foreign-denominated debt
  • The country’s GDP growth potential
  • Monetary policy
  • Political risk
  • Government finances and government guarantees
  • Structure of the economy and revenues
  • Debt position of State-owned corporations
  • Public sector debt position
  • Private sector debt position

These factors are all evaluated before the credit rating is assigned. In the financial markets, ratings from credit rating agencies are placed in two main categories: investment-grade and speculative-grade. The rating agencies assign comparable alphabetical scores, as can be seen in Table 1.  The alphabetic rating is generally accompanied by an outlook statement indicating the prospects for changes in the credit rating. The outlook can be negative, stable, or positive. Credit ratings agencies publish news and detailed grounds for their assessments on a regular basis.

Moody‘s
S&P og Fitch
Explanation of rating
Investment grade ratings
Aaa
AAA
Highest grade, lowest risk
Aa
AA
High grade, low risk
A
A
Above average grade, relatively low risk
Baa
BBB
Average grade, medium risk
Speculative grade ratings
Ba
BB
Payment likely, but uncertain
B
B
Currently able to pay, risk of future default
Caa
CCC
Poor liquidity and clear risk of default
Ca
CC
Very doubtful liquidity; frequent default
C
C
Lowest grade; extremely poor outlook for repayment
  D
In default

Experts from the ratings agencies visit Iceland annually and meet with representatives from the Government, the Central Bank and the private sector. Following those meetings, the sovereign credit rating is affirmed or amended, depending on the assessment of the respective credit rating agency.

 

Developments in Iceland’s sovereign credit ratings

Standard & Poor‘s
Foreign Currency
Domestic Currency

Affirmed(date)
Long-term
Short-term
Long-term
Short-term
Outlook
'89
Ai
A-1


Stable
'94
(new)
A-1


Stable
'96
A+
A-1+
AA+ (new)

Stable
Sept. '98
A+
A-1+
AA+

Positive
March '01
A+
A-1+
AA+

Stable
Oct.  '01
A+
A-1+
AA+

Negative
Nov. '02
A+
A-1+
AA+
A-1+ (new)
Stable
Dec. '03
A+
A-1+
AA+
A-1+
Positive
Feb. '05
AA-
A-1+
AA+
A-1+
Stable
June '06
AA-
A-1+
AA+
A-1+
Negative
Dec. '06
A+
A-1
AA
A-1+
Stable
Nov. '07
A+
A-1
AA
A-1+
Negative
Apr. '08
A+
A-1
AA
A-1+
CreditWatch
Apr. '08
A
A-1
AA-
A-1+
Negative
Sept. '08
A-
A-2
A+
A-1
CreditWatch
Oct. '08
BBB
A-3
BBB+
A-2
Negative
Nov. '08
BBB-
A-3
BBB+
A-2
Negative
Dec. '09
BBB-
A-3
BBB+
A-2
Stable
Jan. '10
BBB-
A-3
BBB+
A-2
CreditWatch
March '10
BBB-
A-3
BBB
A-3
Negative
May '11
BBB-A-3BBB-
A-3 
Negative
Nov. '11
BBB-A-3BBB-A-3Stable
Oct. '12 BBB-  A-3 BBB-  A-3 Stable
Jul. '13BBB- A-3 BBB- A-3 Negative 
Jan. '14 BBB- A-3 BBB- A-3 Stable 
Jul. '14BBB-A-3BBB-A-3Positive
Jul. '15 BBB A-2BBBA-2Stable
Jan.'16BBB+A-2BBB+     A-2Stable 
Jan '17A-
A-2 A- A-2 Stable 
March '17
A
A-1
A
A-1
Stable
Moody‘s
Foreign Currency
Domestic Currency

Affirmed (date)
Long-term
Short-term
Long-term
Short-term
Outlook
May '89
A2




Oct. '90
A2
P-1 (new)



June '96
A1
P-1



March '97
A1
P-1


Positive
July '97
Aa3
P-1
Aaa (ný)
P-1 (ný)
Stable
Oct. '02
Aaa
P-1
Aaa
P-1
Stable
March '08
Aaa
P-1
Aaa
P-1
Negative
May '08
Aa1
P-1
Aa1
P-1
Stable
Sept. '08
Aa1
P-1
Aa1
P-1
Under Review
Oct. '08
A1
P-1
A1
P-1
Under Review
Dec. '08
Baa1
P-2
Baa1
P-2
Negative
Nov. '09
Baa3
P-3
Baa3
P-3
Stable
Apr. '10
Baa3
P-3
Baa3
P-3
Negative
Apr. '10
Baa3
P-3
Baa3
P-3
Stable
July '10
Baa3
P-3
Baa3
P-3
Negative
April. '11  Baa3  P-3  Baa3  P-3  Negative 
Nov. '12  Baa3  P-3  Baa3  P-3  Negative 
Feb. '13 Baa3 P-3  Baa3  P-3 Stable
Jun. '15  Baa2    
P-2    
Baa2    
P-2    
Stable    
Sept. '16 A-3 ... A-3 ... Stable
Jul. '18  A-3    ...     A-3  ...  Positive    
Nov. '19 A-2 ...  A-2 ...  Stable
Fitch
Foreign Currency
Domestic Currency

Affirmed (date)
Long-term
Short-term
Long-term
Short-term
Outlook
Feb. '00
AA-
F1+
AAA


Sept. '00
AA-
F1+
AAA

Stable
Feb. '02
AA-
F1+
AAA

Negative
March '03
AA-
F1+
AAA

Stable
Feb. '06
AA-
F1+
AAA

Negative
March '07
A+
F1
AA+

Stable
Apr. '08
A+
F1
AA+

Negative
Sept. '08
A-
F2
AA

Ratings Watch
Oct. '08
BBB-
F3
A-

Ratings Watch
Dec. '09
BBB-
F3
A-

Negative
Jan. '10
BB+
B
BBB+

Negative
May '11 BB+ B BBB+ Stable
Feb. '12 BBB- F3
BBB+ Stable
Feb. '13 BBB F3 BBB+ ... Stable
Jan. '15  BBB  F3     BBB+  ...  Positive
Jul. '15  BBB+    
F2    
A-    
... Stable 
Jul. '16  BBB+ F2  BBB+  F2  Stable
Jan. '17  BBB+  F2     BBB+  F2  Positive 
Jul. '17  A- F2 A-  F1  Positive
Dec. '17  A  F1  F1  Stable
May. '19 A F1+ A F1+ Stable
May. '20 A
F1+ A
F1+  Negative